March 05, 2025
Ultimate Fridge Staple

Market Commentary
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In my house, there's one thing that's never missing from the fridge: nuggets and sausages. They're just so practical!

Just fry them or toss them in the air fryer, and they're ready to enjoy with hot rice.

Especially during Ramadan, they're real lifesavers for sahur, no need for complicated or time consuming cooking.

But yeah, not too often, though, since they're not that healthy, haha. Just once in a while is fine, and besides, they last long, so it's all good!

Maybe simple habits like this unconsciously contribute to CMRY's profits. After all, who can resist practical nuggets and sausages for sahur or snacking?

In fact, CMRY managed to book a profit of up to IDR 1.5 tn in 2024, growing 22.4% yoy.

 


No wonder, really, their products have already become household staples. Plus, in the middle of all the economic drama, achieving this kind of growth is pretty impressive, right?

That big figure even managed to exceed analysts' expectations!

All thanks to CMRY's sales, which surged with a 16.1% yoy growth to IDR 9.02 tn.

 


Not only that, but their gross margin also increased to 45.2% in 2024.

Looks like it's true, Kanzler nuggets really are one of the main contributors to CMRY's profit growth.

Turns out, revenue from the consumer foods segment, including nuggets and sausages, shot up by 25% throughout FY24!

 


Meanwhile, CMRY's dairy product segment only grew by 6%. Well, maybe that's because there are so many dairy product options now, making the competition tougher.

CMRY's positive performance is apparently not just thanks to nuggets and sausages but also due to successful new product launches and a rapidly expanding sales network.

 


Especially in the GT channel and Miss Cimory, which are really accelerating!

Just imagine, GT outlets increased by 38% yoy, while the number of Miss Cimory agents also rose by 30% yoy.

 


However, for 2025, CMRY's management seems to be playing it safe. Their sales growth target is set at 10–15%, slightly lower than the previous target of 10–20%.

Gross margins are also predicted to be in the range of 42–44%. Understandable, really, since the high profitability seen in 2024 might not last long, especially if raw material prices start rising again.

 


Our analysts estimate that CMRY's net profit in 2025 will grow by 11% yoy to IDR 1.68 tn.

Not only that, but they're also setting a CAGR target of 13% for the 2024–2029 period.

On the revenue side, projections indicate an increase with a CAGR of 12.3%, driven by higher sales volume.

 


This seems to prove that CMRY's strategy to keep pushing in the consumer foods segment and expand its network is probably the right move.

Moreover, gross margins are predicted to remain stable at 42.8% in 2025 and slightly increase to 43.2% in 2026.

Therefore, our analysts still recommend a BUY with a target price of IDR 5,800.

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